Professionals in the financial industry constantly get the bond
market wrong. Note: I’m referring to so-called experts, not amateurs.
They make up well over 80% of the market so they should know
better. And the media are usually also in error, when reporting about them.
At
the first sign of economic problems, there is talk about corporate
defaults and the effect on the bond market. How bond prices are bound to
fall because of the risk of possible defaults. And with that talk, the
bond market weakens and prices do fall.
But
remember: The possibility of default is very quickly factored into bond
prices. And the lower the price, the higher the yield, as a direct
relationship.
Furthermore,
the media hardly ever discuss how you can avoid loss, along with any
inflation hit, with proper use of bond duration. (See the Earl J.
Weinreb NewsHole® comments and @BusinesNewshole at Twitter.)
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