Politicians love to estimate past recessions to suit their views. It comes in handy when they are running for office, when they need to paint a suitable economic picture.
In 2000, with unemployment about 4.0%, we were being told by Democrats out of office, that we had the worst depression since the 1930s. We actually were in the midst of a booming economy.
What about the mid 1970s, when President Reagan took office. We were experiencing a severe downturn that could be considered as bad, if not worse, than what we have today. The fall in GDP was 4.9%. Compared to a drop of 18.2% in 1937-38. That truly was the worst economic cycle since the 1930s.
What we can therefore correctly say is that today’s is the worst recession since 1973-75.
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